Nevada sportsbooks closed out the fourth quarter of 2020 with stellar numbers however on 2021’s first NFL Sunday they did some giving again to the bettors throughout Week 17, the hardest of all weeks for bookmakers.
All 32 groups had been in motion and favorites would go 14-2 straight-up and 7-9 towards the unfold with the over going 10-6.
“Little question our worst Sunday of the season,” mentioned Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay. “All of the groups that wanted to win, received as we speak. Most people cashed all day.
“Usually there’s all the time a few groups that wanted wins, however fall quick. Not as we speak. Parlays and money-line parlays had been the massive punches.”
Kornegay mentioned the SuperBook’s worst outcomes had been the Packers, Saints and in addition the Raiders, solely as a result of it was the final sport posted of the afternoon with each dwell parlay cashing on the 32-31 win at Denver (+3) coupled with the over (50.5).
The one guide I surveyed that was displaying a winner for the day previous to the Sunday evening sport was Marc Nelson’s Atlantis Reno sportsbook who mentioned they “obtained killed on parlays with the Packers and Ravens being the worst.”
William Hill sportsbooks had been a small loser with little hope of the Sunday evening sport having the ability to bail them out as was the South Level. Station Casinos had been even with hopes of the Eagles protecting to salvage one thing optimistic. Washington which closed a -6.5-point favourite, received 20-14.
BetMGM’s story was a story of two segments of outcomes posted between the seven morning-games and the eight afternoon-games.
Nevada sportsbooks closed out the fourth quarter of 2020 with stellar numbers however on 2021’s first NFL Sunday they did some giving again to the bettors throughout Week 17. Eli Manning and Giants gamers reacted to the Washington-Eagles sport. pic.twitter.com/91DpvHgWbG
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) January 4, 2021
“It was a monster morning for us, however we gave all of it again after which some with a double monster-plus towards us within the afternoon,” mentioned Nevada’s BetMGM sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback. “That morning to afternoon turnaround for us was one of many greatest swings I’ve seen in 35 years of reserving. It’s at the very least a top-10 of all-time.”
Not one of the eight afternoon-games had an underdog win outright so exotics had been in play for a giant public rating and in addition for some on line casino whales who wager six-figure money-line parlays.
“I believe the favorites went 13-2 and that set off all the massive money-line parlays to pay out and we did poorly with teasers on the favored favorites as effectively,” Stoneback mentioned. “The Packers ended up being our worst loss, an actual dangerous parlay sport.”
The Packers dropped from -5.5 to -4.5 at Chicago and for the primary three quarters it regarded just like the Bears had been going to stamp their playoff berth with a win being down solely 21-16, however the Packers would rating two TDs within the fourth and win 35-16 — Packers (-4.5) and over (48.5) get the cash. William Hill had this sport probably the most wager of the day with 15% of the money and 10% of the tickets written and the Packers had 76% of the bets on them. The Packers get subsequent week off because the No. 1 seed within the NFC playoffs.
The Bears made the playoffs due to Arizona dropping and can be at New Orleans (-9) subsequent week within the wild card spherical. The Saints (-5.5) performed with out their common RBs Sunday at Carolina because of the group catching or contacting COVID-19 however nonetheless got here away with a 33-7 win, one other favourite profitable.
The largest favorites of the day would win and canopy on the teasers with the Colts 28-14 win towards the Jaguars (+15.5), the Ravens profitable 38-3 at Cincinnati (+13.5), and the Browns 24-22 win towards the Steelers (+10) to place them within the playoffs for the primary time since 2002. William Hill’s Bogdanovich had an fascinating tackle the NFL favorites Sunday persevering with an on-going pattern for the season.
“The theme is similar,” he mentioned. “Favorites of any measurement don’t lose. Ask the Circa Survivor guys who cut up 35 methods after 18 weeks.”
Clearly, Bogdanovich was exaggerating to make a degree saying favorites don’t lose, however in Week 17, solely the Payments (+3) and Giants (+1.5) would win as underdogs within the first two waves of video games. Sure, the AFC East champion Payments closed a ‘canine. Sharp cash anticipated Josh Allen sitting towards the Dolphins and moved from a 3-point favourite to a 3-point ‘canine. The Payments rolled 56-26 as Allen and the starters performed the primary half to construct a 28-6 lead. The South Level paid out a closing better of Payments +155 on the cash line.
There have been 5 video games that ran 3 factors or extra in the course of the week and 4 of them based mostly on accidents or playoff conditions and 4 of the strikes went the sharps approach.
“Week 17 is all the time so robust,” Stoneback mentioned. “It’s like reserving a preseason week not figuring out who will play, or for a way lengthy.”
The large distinction between preseason and Week 17 is extra motion and better limits. However the not figuring out half is the worst feeling. The bookmaker is sitting there antsy and uncomfortable as a result of they don’t know the total story of their quantity. “The store is just not safe,” a bookmaker would possibly proclaim (by a music in a musical). They must play the ready sport on data the place the clever guys do an important job of getting that data first.
The most effective information of Week 17 is that bettors obtained a few of their vacation cash spent on presents again. Onward to the playoffs with continued success.
Massive contest winners
The Circa Survivor contest paid out $2.39 million, and the Circa Million winner went to contestant DSR90. The SuperContest on the SuperBook paid out $439,623 to champion ODBMG2.
“Each underdogs protecting within the faculty playoff video games had been good for us,” Stoneback mentioned. “New Yr’s Day ended up being a very good day. Actually, all of the Bowl video games have gone effectively for us.”
The nationwide championship sport subsequent Monday with Alabama going through Ohio State is fascinating.
After seeing what a very good aerial assault can do to Alabama’s worst protection of the Nick Saban period which started in 2007, I give Ohio State an actual shot to win the sport. Florida’s Kyle Trask abused the Crimson Tide (-16.5) protection for 408 passing yards in a 52-46 SEC Championship sport loss. The Buckeyes’ 49-28 win final week confused the Clemson (-7) secondary all sport with passing to the TE’s after which the working sport opened up.
They will hit Alabama within the mouth early and feed off the consequences. I performed Ohio State +8 and in addition obtained grasping and wager Ohio State on the cash line (+260).
Hopefully, the NFL will do some sort of investigation on how Eagles head coach Doug Pederson threw a pivotal sport for the NFC East playoff hopefuls. He dirty the integrity of the sport by conceding the sport within the fourth quarter by making a QB change from Jalen Hurts to third-stringer Nick Sudfeld, treating it like a preseason sport.
You play to win in all NFL video games. Pederson didn’t. Integrity? He not solely let down the Giants, who wanted the Eagles to win to make the playoffs, however he let down his personal gamers who didn’t conceal their disgust on the sideline.
He additionally let down the sportsbooks who obtained middled going from Washington -2.5 to -6.5. Most sharp cash received, whereas the general public late bets misplaced at -6.5. I’ve by no means seen a coach stink on objective a lot.
Seeing Washington make the playoffs introduced a smile for a number of causes, and none of it actually needed to do with soccer.
Head coach Ron Rivera beat most cancers, and regardless of his River Ron gambles going dangerous in the course of the season, they had been the final crew standing within the weary NFC East. Social justice made the Washington’s change their title to a generic Soccer Group quickly.
It was tumultuous all season for these former Redskins, after which additionally they needed to cope with COVID-19, which by the best way didn’t cancel any NFL video games this season. Alex Smith made a miraculous 2020 comeback to cause them to the playoffs. It’s only a nice story whereas watching the beginnings of the following dominant protection within the NFL.